Seeds are listed in order of the S-Curve. (1-4, 5-8, 9-12, etc.)
1's: Kansas, Syracuse, Kentucky, Duke
2's: Kansas St., Villanova, Purdue (for now...), West Virginia
3's: Ohio St., New Mexico, Vanderbilt, Pittsburgh
4's: Tennessee, Temple, Wisconsin, Michigan St.
5's: Baylor, Georgetown, Maryland, BYU
6's: Texas A&M, Xavier, Gonzaga, Butler
7's: Richmond, Clemson, Texas, Missouri
8's: Oklahoma St., UNLV, Florida St., Marquette
9's: Wake Forest, Northern Iowa, UTEP, Rhode Island
10's: California, Louisville, Old Dominion, Georgia Tech
11's: Florida, Utah St., St. Mary's, Notre Dame
12's: Virginia Tech, UAB, Illinois, San Diego St.
13's: Siena, Cornell, Kent St., Murray St.
14's: Oakland, Wofford, UC-SB, Sam Houston St.
15's: Weber St., Coastal Carolina, Morgan St., North Texas
16's: Quinnipiac, Lehigh, Stony Brook, Jacksonville, Jackson St.
Last Four In: Virginia Tech, UAB, Illinois, San Diego St.
First Four Out: Dayton, Mississippi, UConn, Memphis
Next Four Out: Washington, South Florida, Mississippi St., Wichita St.
Quick thoughts: -The last 4 seed was tough. Michigan St., on further review, has a pretty weak profile for such a high seed. Georgetown's profile looks slightly better on paper to me, but 9-8 in the Big East is iffy. Maryland and Baylor were right there too; Maryland lacked a NC win of consequence, and Baylor's two bad losses kept them off the 4 line.
-Hopefully some upset winners win conference tourneys in conferences like the Horizon, Pac-10, WCC, etc., because some of these teams at the bottom are just atrocious. Putting Washington on there is painful.
-Projections will go daily from this point forward.
-Right around the 9 line, it got ugly. Pretty much every at-large team from Rhode Island on was "Last Four In" material.