After talking with one of my cohorts, I have done a little bit of re-evaluation of teams, leading to some teams moving despite no action of their own or those around you. This is most pronounced down around the bubble area, where we agreed Baylor and Butler, among others, have despicable resumes. Further notes are at the bottom.
1's: Pittsburgh, Ohio St., Duke, Kansas
2's: Texas, BYU, San Diego St., Notre Dame
3's: Purdue, Florida, Wisconsin, Louisville
4's: Georgetown, Syracuse, UConn, UNC
5's: Villanova, Texas A&M, Missouri, Vanderbilt
6's: St. John's, Arizona, Kentucky, Xavier
7's: Temple, Tennessee, UNLV, West Virginia
8's: George Mason, UCLA, Illinois, Old Dominion
9's: Florida St., Cincinnati, Marquette, Kansas St.
10's: Georgia, Washington, Michigan St., Utah St.
11's: Memphis, Richmond, Alabama, Virginia Tech
12's: Gonzaga, Harvard, Nebraska / St. Mary's, Minnesota / Boston College
13's: Belmont, Missouri St., Oakland, Kent St.
14's: Fairfield, College of Charleston, Bucknell, UW-Milwaukee
15's: Coastal Carolina, Murray St., Vermont, Long Island
16's: LBSU, Montana, McNeese St. / FAU, Bethune-Cookman / Texas So.
Last Four In: Nebraska, St. Mary's, Minnesota, Boston College
First Four Out: UAB, Butler, Colorado St., Penn St.
Next Four Out: Wichita St., Southern Miss, Baylor, Maryland
-Very torn about the order of Kansas and Texas. The Longhorns leading the conference helps their argument, but I think the unbalanced schedule has partially contributed to that and Kansas has two less losses (none as bad as Texas getting spanked at USC).
-The last 7 bids were difficult to decide on (I feel pretty good about the first 30 being correct right now).
-The 8/9 lines are fairly weak, in my opinion, but there's no one else to put there.
-I would lean towards Memphis still making it if they were an at-large candidate right now.
-UWM as the Horizon bid definitely changes things. I'd be surprised if they won the auto-bid though, despite hosting the tournament.
-The bottom seeds will most likely shake out much clearer after there are a few conference tournament surprises down there.
Friday, February 25, 2011
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